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Number cruncher: Who wins in Commons shake-up?

What would have happened had 2011's voting reforms applied to the 2010 general election?

By Peter Kellner   January 2011

The coming year could see the biggest change in the way we elect our MPs since women were granted the vote on the same terms as men in 1928. The Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Bill proposes cutting the size of the House of Commons from 650 to 600, and holding a referendum in May on whether to switch from first past the post to the alternative vote. Even if people do not vote for AV, then—assuming parliament approves the bill, and it might have problems in the Lords—we still get a smaller Commons.

Suppose that those changes had been…

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