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The most likely Brexit outcome is Norway

No other option has the parliamentary numbers

By Colin Talbot  

Photo: Dinendra Haria/Zuma Press/PA Images

The UK is entering a period of great uncertainty and constitutional, legal and political upheaval. The big immediate question is what will come out of the House of Commons debate on Theresa May’s Brexit deal (which is actually one very detailed withdrawal deal and one set of vague aspirations for the future in the accompanying “political declaration”). What might happen? To work that out you need to crunch some numbers.

A Venn diagram of the contending Brexit tribes in the Commons looks something like…

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