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Why the Conservatives’ grip on power is secure

The post election analysis suggests the Tories could dominate for the next decade

By Peter Kellner  

Cameron has a chance to make the weather. Will he seize it? ©Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire/Press Association Images

With only a small amount of luck, and unless they behave stupidly, the Conservatives have not only won this year’s general election: they should win the next one, too.

Arithmetic underpins this analysis. Across England last week, there was a 1.4 per cent swing from Conservative to Labour—the latter performed well in its city strongholds of London,…

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