The Republican candidate’s performance in the debate has not changed the raceby Fabrizio Tonello / October 10, 2016 / Leave a comment
Nervously, Donald Trump marches on. The self-proclaimed champion of the American white male working class will go down fighting, in a farcical re-enactment of Custer’s last stand. This is what we can conclude after the second presidential debate. The day after, the data journalism website Fivethirtyeight.com gives Trump only an 18 per cent chance of being elected on 8th November. As political scientist Larry Sabato points out, “In the broad sweep of US history, very occasionally one of the major parties simply disqualifies itself from the contest to win the White House by nominating an unelectable, non-mainstream candidate. We suspect that there will never be a better example than Donald Trump.”
In many states, early voting has already started. Most Americans have a firm opinion about the two candidates and will vote accordingly. This was apparent in the behaviour of both Hillary Clinton and Trump on Sunday night. Both candidates catered to their respective bases, Hillary focused on women and “The Donald” on white men without a college degree.