Latest Issue

Lab report

So it turns out that the world has not been warming since 1998—what is going on? How biofuels are adding to the food crisis. Plus, can we predict earthquakes?

By Philip Ball   June 2008

Global warming on hold?

Has the intergovernmental panel on climate change got its numbers wrong? That’s what a recent paper in Nature seems to be saying, to the delight of climate change sceptics. Whereas the IPCC forecasts a rise in global mean temperature of around 0.2-0.3 oC per decade, researchers in Germany using computer modelling found that temperatures are likely to remain flat until around 2015, as indeed they have done since about 1998.

Sceptics will argue this shows scientists don’t have a clue about climate and that the dire forecasts from models count for nothing. But this would…

Register today to continue reading

You’ve hit your limit of three articles in the last 30 days. To get seven more, simply enter your email address below.

You’ll also receive our free e-book Prospect’s Top Thinkers 2020 and our newsletter with the best new writing on politics, economics, literature and the arts.

Prospect may process your personal information for our legitimate business purposes, to provide you with newsletters, subscription offers and other relevant information.

Click here to learn more about these purposes and how we use your data. You will be able to opt-out of further contact on the next page and in all our communications.

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to

More From Prospect