Magazine
Latest Issue

What do past elections tell us about the accuracy of the polls?

In seven of the last nine general elections they have been right—so don't count on an upset this week

By Nicholas Earl  

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn meeting supporters before giving a stump speech during General Election campaigning in Telford ©Ben Birchall/PA Wire/PA Images

Labour has been gaining ground in the polls. The degree of its success, however, and whether or not the term “momentum” can be applied to anything other than its grassroots organisation, is still up for debate. That said, clearly Jeremy Corbyn’s party has improved on its position on 18th April, when Theresa May called a general election hoping for a landslide.

According to YouGov, Labour has cut a gap of 24 points to…

Register today to continue reading

You’ve hit your limit of three articles in the last 30 days. To get seven more, simply enter your email address below.

You’ll also receive our free e-book Prospect’s Top Thinkers 2020 and our newsletter with the best new writing on politics, economics, literature and the arts.

Prospect may process your personal information for our legitimate business purposes, to provide you with newsletters, subscription offers and other relevant information.

Click here to learn more about these purposes and how we use your data. You will be able to opt-out of further contact on the next page and in all our communications.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to letters@prospect-magazine.co.uk

More From Prospect