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Reluctant Europeans

There will be no euro referendum in this parliament. A majority remain opposed to entry, but they think it will come anyway

I no longer believe that in the life of this parliament, 2001 to 2005, Tony Blair will call a referendum on the euro, no matter the outcome of Gordon Brown’s five economic tests.

In July 2000, I forecast that Blair would call the referendum-as he had promised in the election manifesto-in November 2001, and win it, just.

My forecast was based on the nearly half of the British population who say either (split equally) “I am generally in favour of British entry into the single european currency, but I could be persuaded to vote against it if I thought it…

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