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Predictions for 2010

What will happen in Cameron's year? Martin Amis's novel won't be good, England will lose in the World Cup semi-finals, and Bin Laden will finally be caught by the Chinese

By David Goodhart   January 2010

Twenty ten has an odd ring to it, and it’s shaping up to be a curious year. Here are a few Prospect predictions. In 2010, the west will discover just how much the financial crash has weakened it­—in particular, the Chinese will wave away pleas to allow its currency to appreciate, and call the west’s bluff over a threatened trade war. Both Russia and China will decline to force Iran to abandon its nuclear weapons plans; that task will instead be undertaken by Israeli pilots, thereby derailing some surprisingly promising new Israel-Palestine peace talks. But, on a more positive note,…

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