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EU Referendum: What happens if Cameron opts for “Out?”

Voters might reject the Prime Minister's advice—whatever he says

By Peter Kellner  

David Cameron has to win support across the political spectrum. © Wiktor Dabkowski/DPA/Press Association Images

Let us take David Cameron at his word. He says that if his fellow European Union leaders turn a “deaf ear” to his demands for EU reform, he will recommend a vote to leave in the coming referendum. Suppose he isn’t bluffing. Suppose he carries out his threat. What then?

The obvious conclusion is…

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