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4am update: Why the outcome of this uncertain election holds lessons for Britain

The result is still unknown but we can already discern important truths about polling, policy and political strategy

By Peter Kellner  

Photo: Michael Nigro/SIPA USA/PA Images

At the time of writing, Joe Biden is the probable but not certain winner in the US. If he does win, it will essentially be because his strength among suburban and blue-collar voters in the north overcame Donald Trump’s strength among rural and a significant section of Hispanic voters in the south. (In a few hours we should be able to judge whether Trump’s gains among Hispanic voters are general, or mainly among formerly Cuban families. If Biden wins Arizona, it would suggest that…

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