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Is the nationalist bubble bursting?

The local elections affirmed the Conservatives’ new found position as Scotland’s second party—and they will likely claim some SNP scalps on 8th June

By John Curtice  

First Minister Nicola Sturgeon ©Jane Barlow/PA Wire/PA Images

While the rest of the country looked to the local elections to see what portents they held for Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn, commentators north of the border had their eyes on a different question—what might they mean for Nicola Sturgeon and the prospect for a second independence referendum?

On 8th June, the SNP will be defending a quite remarkable performance by the party two years ago. It won 50 per cent of the vote and 56 out of the…

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