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Has “Leave” really just shot to a ten point lead? Don’t be so sure

It would be wise to view a new poll with caution

By Peter Kellner  

Anti-Brexit protesters take part in a Stop Brexit march in Manchester city centre to coincide with Conservative Party conference in October. According to some new polling, they aren't having much luck at the moment. Photo: Matt Crossick/Matt Crossick/Empics Entertainment

Just before Christmas, I warned Remainers not to get too excited about a poll showing a ten point lead for staying in the EU. The opposite now applies. In his latest column for the Sunday Times, Dominic Lawson reports a YouGov poll showing a Leave lead widening from two to nine points in the past three months. Once again, I doubt whether there has been any real…

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