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Speed data: just how much appetite is there for a second EU referendum?

Is there a swing to Remain? Could there be a second referendum? And if so, how would it go?

By John Curtice   March 2018

Last June’s general election not only undermined Theresa May’s authority, it also tilted the balance of opinion—narrowly—in favour of “Remain.” BMG’s data below is typical. In the six months before the election the company’s polls never put “Remain” ahead. Since then, they have never put “Leave” ahead.

However, the “Remain” lead is far too small to be sure what the outcome of a second referendum would be. After all, in the 2016 vote most (though not all) polls put “Remain”…

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