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What to look out for in Thursday’s local elections

Any analysis of results must take into account the absence of the Brexit Party and Change UK

By John Curtice  

Photo: Victoria Jones/PA Archive/PA Images

Two new political parties have been formed in recent weeks. One, the Brexit Party, is effectively a breakaway from Ukip, the other, Change UK, has been formed by defectors from both Labour and the Conservatives. So one might assume that the local elections, taking place on Thursday in most of England outside London, will be a vital first test of these parties’ potential to break the mould of the existing party system.

Not so. For both are so new that they did not have…

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