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Can Cameron keep a lid on the Tories?

If Ukip cleans up today, the prime minister will have to get tough

By Jay Elwes  

© DFID

When it comes to mid-term elections, such as those under way today, it is often hard to separate the incumbent government’s attempts at expectation management from its genuine mood. When asked about the UKIP threat, a Number 10 spokesman noted that, “we are starting from a rather high base.” Senior Tories have been telling newspapers that disaster looms. But does it?

From the Tory perspective, the polling data…

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