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Is Labour’s century-long dominance in Wales coming to an end?

The Conservatives could win 21 of Wales’ 40 seats next month

By Jac Larner  

©Steve Parsons/PA Wire/PA Images

Last week a Wales Governance Centre (WGC)/ITV Wales poll by YouGov sent shockwaves through the UK’s political landscape by reporting a ten-point lead for the Conservatives over Labour in Wales. The poll was described by Welsh psephologist-in-chief Roger Scully as the beginning of a potential “electoral earthquake.” If the poll is accurate—and that is an important “if”—the Conservatives could win as many as 21 of Wales’ 40 seats, breaking two historic characteristics of Welsh politics.

The first…

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