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I chaired the 2015 polling inquiry—here’s my take on this year’s polls

Pollsters have made various tweaks. On Friday, we'll know which (if any) worked

By Patrick Sturgis  

A polling station in Ely, Cambridgeshire. Photo: PA

As the person who chaired the British Polling Council/Market Research Society Inquiry into the failure of the 2015 election polls, I have been asked many times what the outcome of the snap election on Thursday will be. Yet my record of predicting election results makes me quite unsuited to answering this question— surprisingly for some, it seems. I went for a hung parliament in 2015, Remain in the EU Referendum, and Clinton in the US Presidential race, to name but a…

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