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A 68-seat Johnson majority: do YouGov’s startling election figures make sense?

The “MRP” method has likely captured the overall picture but there should be caution over individual seats

By Peter Kellner  

Can he be confident of a majority? Photo: SOPA Images/SIPA USA/PA Images

This is not a sentence I ever expected to write; but I have some sympathy for Dominic Cummings. Boris Johnson’s notorious adviser is worried that too many people will take a Conservative victory for granted, stop worrying about Jeremy Corbyn becoming prime minister, and hence fail to vote Conservative on 12th December. Might complacency and the desire of many lukewarm Tories on a dark, cold and possibly wet December evening to stay at home, cost Johnson his premiership?

Cummings…

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