Latest Issue

A 68-seat Johnson majority: do YouGov’s startling election figures make sense?

The “MRP” method has likely captured the overall picture but there should be caution over individual seats

By Peter Kellner  

Can he be confident of a majority? Photo: SOPA Images/SIPA USA/PA Images

This is not a sentence I ever expected to write; but I have some sympathy for Dominic Cummings. Boris Johnson’s notorious adviser is worried that too many people will take a Conservative victory for granted, stop worrying about Jeremy Corbyn becoming prime minister, and hence fail to vote Conservative on 12th December. Might complacency and the desire of many lukewarm Tories on a dark, cold and possibly wet December evening to stay at home, cost Johnson his premiership?


Register today to continue reading

You’ve hit your limit of three articles in the last 30 days. To get seven more, simply enter your email address below.

You’ll also receive our free e-book Prospect’s Top Thinkers 2020 and our newsletter with the best new writing on politics, economics, literature and the arts.

Prospect may process your personal information for our legitimate business purposes, to provide you with newsletters, subscription offers and other relevant information.

Click here to learn more about these purposes and how we use your data. You will be able to opt-out of further contact on the next page and in all our communications.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to

More From Prospect