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Bush won’t walk it

Whoever runs as Democratic candidate, it could be a very close race. Floating voters in the rust belt will decide Bush's fate

By Michael Lind   August 2003

George W Bush may be elected to a second term in 2004 but his re-election is by no means a sure thing. After all, Bush is the first president since Benjamin Harrison in 1888 to have obtained an electoral college majority while losing the popular vote. If Gore had carried his home state of Tennessee, Bush would not be president and the US and Britain would not be bogged down in Iraq. The US is still a “50-50” nation, with the demographic momentum (created by Democrat-friendly immigrants) favouring the Democrats, in the medium term of a decade or two.


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