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Forensic polling analysis shows how Boris Johnson is on course to win—and how he can be stopped

Using similar techniques and data to that which called the last election right, I’m mapping the 2019 battleground to empower progressive Britain

By Paul Hilder  

Photo: Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire/PA Images

At the mid-way point of this fateful election campaign, my firm Datapraxis is publishing what we believe to be the first really authoritative estimates of the state of the race.

For anyone who worries about Boris Johnson unleashed, there is both good news and bad news. Using the largest polling sample available, and mapping the dynamics of different groups of voters on to every seat, we currently project a 48-seat Conservative majority.

As things stand,…

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