Not all Labour Brexit voters think it is important that Britain now leaves Europeby Joe Twyman / June 8, 2018 / Leave a comment
New data from Deltapoll suggests that the importance Labour-voting Leavers attach to actually exiting the European Union is lower than for other pro-Brexit groups. This makes Labour Leavers the closest thing the Brexit debate has to “floating voters.”
The Labour Party has been divided on the question of how to implement the referendum result. As Brexit approaches a crunch point the new data has potentially significant implications for its Brexit stance.
Potential fading support for Brexit has been the subject of recent analysis. Peter Kellner, is his recent article for Prospect, showed data indicating that this could be largely driven by Labour-supporting Leavers whose support for Brexit may have waned in the two years since the referendum. The data from Deltapoll shines more light on this group to help explain why that might be.
Deltapoll asked those who voted Remain in the EU Referendum how important it was that the UK remain in the EU, and then flipped the question for those who voted Leave, asking them how important it was the UK leaves.
The overall finding was remarkable. True, both sides thought it was important that the result they voted for in the referendum was then the eventual outcome. Among those who voted Leave, over three quarters (76 per cent) thought it was important, and of those 38 per cent thought it was very important.
For Remainers, the figure was even higher. Over eight in ten (84 per cent) of those who voted Remain thought it was important the UK remain in the EU, with nearly half (46 per cent) thinking it was very important.
Within the ranks of Conservative voters, Remainers and Leavers look strikingly similar in terms of the importance they attach to the issue—with 87 per cent of both groups saying it is important.
Labour Remainers are very similar in terms of the total saying important. Nearly nine out of ten (88 per cent) say staying the EU is important—the highest of the four groups—and over half (51 per cent) say it is very important.
But here is the crucial point. The figures for Labour Leavers are noticeably lower. Only just over seven out of ten of that group (71 per cent) think it is important and fewer than one third (32 per cent) think it’s very important.