Both Labour and the Tories are stuck on a political merry-go-round. It's time to admit that a good deal is nearly impossible, and get on with getting outby Diane James / June 6, 2018 / Leave a comment
Not everyone likes it, but the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union in 2016. This, it seems, must be restated. In the lead-up Prime Minister David Cameron declared: “It is time for the British people to have their say, it is time to settle this European question in British politics. I say to the British people: this will be your decision.”
The people decided.
Since then, we have been saddled with a pro-Remain Prime Minister and a largely pro-Remain cabinet. The Leavers are overwhelmingly outnumbered. Government departments are starved of the resources to negotiate the terms of Brexit. The word is that the Department for Exiting the European Union is to close.
The softness of the Brexit has all but been guaranteed this week as Jeremy Corbyn has, apparently, changed his stance on Brexit. Under pressure from his deeply pro-EU Parliamentary Party and rumours of a new party of the Left doing the rounds, the Labour leader and his top team will vote next week for a Commons motion calling for “full access” to the EU’s Single Market and “shared institutions and regulations” with Brussels. With likely support coming from all corners, May’s vision is dead in the water.
But the mismanagement of Brexit by Theresa May is largely irrelevant; the problem is also the EU itself. All of the surrenders by the PM (Irish border, Customs Union, European Court jurisdiction, paying into the budget until 2027, not getting back our money until 2057—staying aligned to the Single Market—staying in the Internal Energy Market, aligning financial regulation with the Securities and Markets Authority, and so on) forming the “deal” will be subject to approval by unanimity at the European Council.
The Council is made up of the Heads of State of the members of the European Union. Signing off on the ‘deal’ will require a unanimous vote from all 27 members. Or we go back to the table. Fans of Game Theory will quickly realise that this creates an almost unsolvable situation.
Right up until the Eleventh Hour and Member State will be able to veto the ‘deal.’ Between now and Brexit Day, governments could change—like Italy’s, Spain’s, and Slovenia’s have in the last week. Hungary and Poland may well be…