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Prospect’s counter-factual column
John Major’s victory in the general election of 1992 was both convincing and precarious. The Conservatives won the endorsement of over 14m people, the largest popular vote ever, but ended up with a majority of only 21 in the House of Commons. So concentrated was Tory support in safe seats that if just 1,284 voters in 11 marginal constituencies had switched allegiance, the result would have been a hung parliament. A slightly increased swing to Labour and it would have been Neil Kinnock moving into Downing Street.
What if that had been the case? What if Kinnock had won with…
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