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Coalition: Can the Liberal Democrats survive?

Britain’s leading pollster has a bleak prognosis, but a former Lib Dem leader explains his change of heart

By Peter Kellner   May 2011

The collapse in Lib Dem support is the most dramatic feature of the party landscape since last year’s election. Recent YouGov polls have shown Labour up around 12 points since last May and the Lib Dems down 14 points. Support for the Conservatives has scarcely moved—and very few voters have switched between the two main parties.

YouGov’s most recent nationwide survey, involving nearly 50,000 people, shows that as many as 69 per cent of Lib Dem voters have deserted the party since last May. But so have 24 per cent of Tories and 16 per cent of Labour voters. Labour…

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