The midterm elections constitute the most serious test yet of the resilience of American democracy in the Trump era—at least, until the results come inby Angus Johnston / November 6, 2018 / Leave a comment
Last month, the pipe bombs sent to prominent Democrats and their allies and the murder of eleven worshippers in a Pittsburgh synagogue provoked a wave of soul-searching and finger-pointing over the state of political discourse in the United States. When it emerged that the would-be bomber drove a van covered in right-wing images, and the Pittsburgh shooter was obsessed with the supposed threat of immigration from Mexico and Central America, Democrats blamed Donald Trump for fomenting violence.
Tying together the specific targets of these acts of violence is a deep paranoia: a fear of the machinations of supposed liberal “puppetmasters” like George Soros, the supporters of immigration reform and applicants for asylum, and even the Jewish community itself. This paranoid worldview resonates powerfully with Republican party rhetoric in the Trump era, and as we head into the crucial midterm elections, it’s worth taking some time to try to explore why.
The first thing to understand about Republican paranoia in the present moment is that it has no real analogue in the Democratic Party. Left-leaning people may be yelling at politicians in the halls of Congress and DC-area restaurants, but real violence—up to and including mass murder—is far more likely to come from the political right than the left, and has been for many years. Even setting actual physical harm aside, there is no liberal or leftwing equivalent to the weird fringe “Q Anon” or “Pizzagate” theories, no liberal Alex Jones, and—crucially—no liberal Donald Trump.
Why are Republicans so inclined to see themselves as the victims of shadowy conspiracies? One answer is that while they see themselves as representing the strong solid middle ground in American public opinion, the available evidence suggests that the opposite is true—that it is the Democratic Party, not the Republicans, who possess untapped reserves of popular support.
Consider: when Donald Trump rails against the polls, he is doing so as the least popular president in modern American history. When he brags about—and preposterously inflates—the size of his rallies, he does so as the second Republican president in two decades to be elected despite receiving fewer votes than his opponent. And when he claims that his opponents are voting illegally and stealing elections, he does so…