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Britons think 22 per cent of the population will be Muslim by 2020. The real figure is 7 per cent

What people get spectacularly wrong is often revealing

By Bobby Duffy   November 2018

Photo: Dominic Lipinski/PA Archive/PA Images

The best estimate is that around 7 per cent of the UK population will be Muslim by 2020. That’s pretty fast growth, up from nearly 5 per cent in 2016, due mainly to migration and higher fertility in the Muslim population. But the average guess from a representative sample of Britons was that 22 per cent of us will be Muslim by 2020—one in five. That’s not just a bit out, it’s thrice the reality.

What people get spectacularly wrong is often revealing. We…

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