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The weather won’t affect Thursday’s general election result—or will it?

Although the evidence suggests a poor polling day forecast doesn't impact turnout, cold-weather canvassing has proved tricky for some activists. So does it matter?

By Stephanie Boland  

Will rain affect election turnout? Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn canvasses with an umbrella during the local elections. Photo: PA

It’s general election week, and that means two things for party activists. One, every single one of them is now sleep-deprived, running solely off Wetherspoon’s coffee and constituency office biscuits. Two, they’re nervously eyeing Thursday’s weather forecast.

It’s a long-held belief that bad weather is risky for Labour’s turnout in particular. Anthony Howard once called a rainy evening “a frightening prospect” for the party, reflecting the theory that working-class voters who…

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