Left and right defined the 20th century. What's next?by prospect / March 22, 2007 / Leave a comment
Published in March 2007 issue of Prospect Magazine
E Fabio Arcangeli
Left/right will continue to exist, although with new meanings:
– left might come to mean dissatisfaction with unilateralism and empires in general, and assume a spiritual flavour, aiming to go beyond the shortcomings of modernity: secularisation and lack of values, empathy, and compassion.
– right might become an imperial and postmodern, realpolitik and fully secularised perspective; if so, there will be at least two rights: pro-US and pro-China one; during the century, the balance will shift between the two.
The major fault lines will be between the Ultra-Haves, the At-Risk-Haves and the Have-Nots, and alliances between them will vary greatly. The Ultra-Haves are Michael Lind’s Plutopians plus the Resource Barons and Crime Barons. The At-Risk-Haves are the middle classes everywhere, who resent the Ultras but will often side with them against the Have-Nots. They are at risk from low-cost competitors, environmental disruption, social disruption exacerbated by migration, and mounting competition for positional goods. The Have-Nots are split between the Mobile and the Stuck, the latter being incarcerated in estates, barrios, other kinds of ghettos. Mobile Have-Nots could form alliances with the At-Risk Haves; the Stuck are often forced into one-sided alliances with the criminal version of the Ultra-Haves.