Polling
Is the race tightening? Decoding the most significant parts of YouGov’s new election MRP survey
The latest information raises the prospect of a surge in tactical voting tomorrow
New polling: the voters have tuned out of Brexit, and are turned on by big cheques
New Deltapoll research goes beyond asking how many voters think something, and instead reveals how much they care
The battle for the Scottish marginals
What happens north of the border could determine the outcome for the UK as a whole
A 68-seat Johnson majority: do YouGov’s election figures make sense?
The “MRP” method has likely captured the overall picture but there should be caution over individual seats
Audio: Can we trust the polls?
What pollsters get wrong—and right
New polling analysis shows Johnson on course to win—and how he can be stopped
Using similar techniques and data to that which called the last election right, I’m mapping the 2019 battleground to empower progressive Britain
The most unpredictable election ever? Don’t believe it
Polls have their problems. But don’t buy into the panic about local variation making the result impossible to call. If we can only gauge the national vote share, explains a member of the exit poll team, the old swingometer could…
Could Boris Johnson lose his seat in this election?
It’s a long shot. But the prime minister’s chances on his home turf in Uxbridge, as across the country, could still be ruined by Nigel Farage
Snap election: Will Boris Johnson’s Conservatives win a majority?
And what does the answer mean for Brexit?
United Leavers could easily thwart divided Remainers in the upcoming general election
Preventing such an outcome would require an unprecedented level of tactical coordination
The next general election will happen in unpredictable times—so what can the polls tell us?
The result of a general election will be hard to predict. But what do polling trends say about Boris Johnson, Jeremy Corbyn, the Liberal Democrats and the Brexit Party?
Back in business: how the Liberal Democrats turned their luck around
The next challenge for the party is to cut through on issues beyond Brexit