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Why is Labour surging—and how worried should the Tories be?

The polls have swung in an unprecedented manner, but keep an eye on the leaders' personal ratings. They could determine the result on Thursday

By Peter Kellner  

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn Photo: Owen Humphreys/PA Wire/PA Images

Suddenly, the media have woken up to the huge variation in the polls, with figures that point variously to a Tory landslide and a hung parliament. In fact, these differences have been there throughout the election campaign, with polls six weeks ago varying from an 11 point Conservative lead (Survation) to 25 points (ComRes). But when they agreed the lead was in double digits, these differences didn’t seem to matter so much.


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