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Snap election: Will Boris Johnson’s Conservatives win a majority?

And what does the answer mean for Brexit?

By Peter Kellner  

Photo: WIktor Szymanowicz/NurPhoto/PA Images

Before we delve into the more complex features of the coming election campaign, let’s start with a simple proposition. The central question on election night will be: have the Conservatives won enough seats to deliver Brexit?

“Enough” is around 320. Assuming Sinn Fein a) have seven seats again in the 650-member parliament, and b) don’t take their seats, there will be 643 voting MPs. 322 will be needed for an overall majority. With the DUP now firmly against Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal, and a number…

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