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Rochester and Strood: Ukip shouldn’t be too pleased with their victory

The party's new MP may not have secured a sufficiently large majority

By Peter Kellner  

should Ukip be worried about their long term prospects? © Gareth Fuller/PA Wire/Press Association Images

Ukip’s future is in the balance. Yes, it has doubled its representation in the House of Commons. Yes, it has survived a far more ferocious onslaught in Rochester and Strood than it faced in Clacton just six weeks ago. Yes, David Cameron visited the Kent constituency five times and Ukip’s latest MP Mark Reckless still emerged victorious.

And yet……

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