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One of the most important questions in the weeks ahead: how do we tell if easing the lockdown is working?

Rules may not change, but if they do, how do we monitor the epidemiological consequences? The polling industry provides a clue

By Peter Kellner  

Photo: Claire Doherty/SIPA USA/PA Images

Within the next few weeks, the government will start to relax the coronavirus lockdown. Two big questions arise. The first, which has been widely discussed, is one that nobody, not even ministers, can yet answer: what will the new rules be? The second question, just as important, is receiving little attention—but can be answered: how can we tell if the new policy is working?

The need for an answer should be obvious. It will…

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