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Crunch the numbers and it looks like May’s Brexit deal could be dead on arrival

The Commons arithmetic could prove insurmountable

By Peter Kellner  

Photo: Victoria Jones/PA Wire/PA Images

Will the House of Commons vote for Theresa May’s Brexit deal? Let’s go figure.

There are 650 MPs. Sinn Fein’s seven members have not taken their seats; and four, including the Speaker, are elected House of Commons officials who never vote. That leaves 639 voting MPs: 316 Conservatives, together with ten Democratic Unionists make a pro-government total of 326, compared with 313 opposition MPs.

At the moment, the figures on Brexit look bad for the government. They risk losing the support of the DUP,…

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