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Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert, under the weight of multiple police investigations, announced last week that he would not be competing in the upcoming September 17 primary of his Kadima party and would yield the premiership to the next party leader—as I suggested he would in my Prospect article on Marwan Barghouti. Who will replace him? Olmert has made it painfully clear that his own preference is transport minister and former military chief of staff Shaul Mofaz, rather than the other main contender, foreign secretary Tzipi Livni.

This has more to do with geo- than with personal politics. Livni has…

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