Latest Issue

Nate Silver

Statistician and New York Times blogger

By Prospect  

A political analyst and blogger for the New York Times, Silver came to international prominence during the 2012 US presidential campaign. The consensus in the closing stages of the campaign was that the result would be close. Silver bucked this with predictions of a solid Obama win, and came under political attack from conservative analysts. He correctly forecast the winner in all 50 states. He is the author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Prediction Fail—but Some Don’t (Allen Lane, 2012).

Register today to continue reading

You’ve hit your limit of three articles in the last 30 days. To get seven more, simply enter your email address below.

You’ll also receive our free e-book Prospect’s Top Thinkers 2020 and our newsletter with the best new writing on politics, economics, literature and the arts.

Prospect may process your personal information for our legitimate business purposes, to provide you with newsletters, subscription offers and other relevant information.

Click here to learn more about these purposes and how we use your data. You will be able to opt-out of further contact on the next page and in all our communications.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to

More From Prospect