Magazine
Latest Issue

Too few people?

After years of worrying about overpopulation, some demographers now predict that global population will peak in 2040 and then start a headlong dive. Nicholas Eberstadt looks at some of the curious consequences of a world without siblings

Over the past few years, some of the world’s best demographers have begun a dramatic reassessment of the world’s future. They are now seriously proposing that the world’s population, rather than continuing to increase, might peak in our lifetimes and then go into an indefi-nite decline in the generations immedia- tely ahead. This scenario is reflected in, among other studies, the UN Population Division’s biennial compendium, World Population Prospects-the oldest and largest contemporary attempt to outline future demographic trends. The current 1996 Revision includes “low variant” projections which anticipate zero population growth for the world as a whole by the…

Register today to continue reading

You’ve hit your limit of three articles in the last 30 days. To get seven more, simply enter your email address below.

You’ll also receive our free e-book Prospect’s Top Thinkers 2020 and our newsletter with the best new writing on politics, economics, literature and the arts.

Prospect may process your personal information for our legitimate business purposes, to provide you with newsletters, subscription offers and other relevant information.

Click here to learn more about these purposes and how we use your data. You will be able to opt-out of further contact on the next page and in all our communications.

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to letters@prospect-magazine.co.uk

More From Prospect