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No bloodbath in Iraq

The Iraq war was based on a false "best case." Now the argument for staying is based on a false "worst case"

By Robert Dreyfuss   April 2007

The Bush administration famously based its argument for invading Iraq on best-case assumptions: that the US would be greeted as liberators; that a capable democratic government would quickly emerge; that our military presence would be modest and temporary; and that Iraqi oil revenues would pay for everything. All these assumptions, of course, turned out to be wrong.

Now many of the same people who pushed for the invasion are arguing for escalating US military involvement based on a worst-case assumption: that if America leaves quickly, the apocalypse will follow. “How,” asked Robert Kagan and William Kristol in the Weekly Standard,…

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