Predicting earthquakes Could the Muzaffarabad earthquake in Kashmir, for which the death toll stands at nearly 40,000, have been foreseen? And if it could have been, would it have made much difference?
Earthquake fatalities depend not only on the quake’s magnitude—a measure of how much energy it releases—but on geological and demographic factors. In densely populated Kobe in 1995, a magnitude-6.9 quake claimed over 6,000 lives, despite Japan’s relatively advanced building technologies, because the region’s soft rocks liquefied. In contrast, the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake in California was magnitude 7.1 and the epicentre was just ten miles northeast of Santa…
Register today to continue reading
You’ve hit your limit of three articles in the last 30 days. To get seven more, simply enter your email address below.
You’ll also receive our free e-book Prospect’s Top Thinkers 2020 and our newsletter with the best new writing on politics, economics, literature and the arts.
Prospect may process your personal information for our legitimate business purposes, to provide you with newsletters, subscription offers and other relevant information.
Click here to learn more about these purposes and how we use your data. You will be able to opt-out of further contact on the next page and in all our communications.
Already a subscriber? Log in here