Predicting voter behaviour in our current complex circumstances is a fools' game—but there are certain factors that will determine how the election plays out

The capital doesn't have an especially high number of marginals. What it does have is three-way battlegrounds—and those will tell you all you need to know

If Leave means Leave, why are these Leavers against it?

A Johnson-Farage alliance is the stuff of Remainer nightmares—but it wouldn't be much good for Nigel Farage, either

The coalition’s radical right-wing economic agenda flouted basic norms and inflicted immense harm in the process 

It is May's decisions in Number 10 that ultimately led to her downfall. But her political problems are ones shared by the Conservative Party—and the wider British right

In the short term, the "Tiggers" will fail to gain support—and crucial media coverage—unless they stress their Remain stance. But longer-term success requires a different strategy entirely

It might give nervous politicians a way out—but don’t put too much faith in the ability of a Citizen's Assembly to actually create consensus around Brexit

May's antics have won over few on her own side while repelling the opponents she needs to bring on board. If she was aiming for consensus, she has badly misstepped

Too many Labour MPs have spent their time searching for a unicorn rather than deciding what trade-offs to make. But you can't triangulate forever

It's not perfect—but the new NEF proposal to scrap the personal allowance and offer a £2,500 payment instead at least prioritises the poorest over middle-class earners. So will John McDonnell go for it?

This isn't "Corbynism without Corbyn" or Conservatism without the ERG. But it's not clear what it is, either