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Does Mullah Omar’s death spell the end for the Taliban?

The former leader of the group is believed to have died in Pakistan in 2013

by Prospect Team / July 31, 2015 / Leave a comment
Local residents stand outside a shop with graffiti reading "leader of Muslims Mullah Mohammad Omar," on Sunday, May 8, 2011, in Pashin, 100 kilometers south of Quetta, Pakistan. Wanted Taliban leader Mullah Omar is widely believed to be hiding in Pakistan or Afghanistan. (AP Photo/Arshad Butt)

Local residents stand outside a shop with graffiti reading “leader of Muslims Mullah Mohammad Omar” in Pakistan. © AP Photo/Arshad Butt

Yesterday, the President of Afghanistan’s office said in a statement that it believed Taliban leader Mullah Omar had died in a Pakistan hospital in 2013. Rumours of Omar’s death have spread before, but this time both the Afghan and US governments have judged the reports to be credible.

The announcement ends months of confusion about Omar’s condition and whereabouts, and if true is likely to send a brewing power struggle in the group’s ranks into overdrive. But does this mark the start of a new era for the islamist movement, which ruled Afghanistan from the mid-1990s until 2001? Or will the shockwaves caused by the news tear the group apart?

This moment is critical

Fawaz A. Gerges, Professor of International Relations at the London School of Economics

With the death of Mullah Muhammad Omar, the Taliban movement is at a critical juncture. The changing of the guard comes at a time when Taliban leaders seem to be deeply divided about the future direction of their movement, particularly the peace talks with the Afghan government. The choice of a new successor, Mullah Akhtar Mansour, Omar’s longtime deputy, is unlikely to resolve internal tensions and contradictions. Far from it. There was reportedly a fierce opposition to his selection by military and political heavyweights among the Taliban. Mansour is seen as subservient to Pakistan and too forthcoming on the peace talks.

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Comments

  1. Lincoln Pearle
    September 1, 2015 at 21:21
    With the Islamic State and other jihadist groups vying for the loyalty of young Taliban fighters, it is unclear whether any leader except Omar can hold the movement together and then get its members to accept a peace settlement.
    Reply

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