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Oil and troubled waters

  17th January 2009  —  Issue 154
Plagued by piracy, Islamic extremism and endless civil war, surely it can't get any worse for Somalia? It might if they find oil in the province of Puntland

“In 20 years it will look like Dubai,” said Liban Bogor from the front seat. We were bumping over the rubble in a Toyota land cruiser at 10mph, returning from a feedlot on the outskirts of Bosaso, a port town on the Horn of Africa. Bogor is an influential local “businessman,” and around here that usually means a warlord, but I struggled to share his optimism. We passed youths carrying Kalashnikovs and children playing on trucks with mounted .50-calibre machine guns. Dubai it is not.

Bosaso is a hardscrabble Somalian town. The economy, such as it is, depends on the export of goats across the Gulf of Aden to Yemen. The beach is a vast latrine. In huts on the edge of Bosaso live refugees from Ethiopia and war-torn southern Somalia. Some of them try the crossing to Yemen; many die in doing so.

When our plane touched down in the town after a five-hour flight from Nairobi, we emerged to be greeted by men chewing the narcotic qat as they slouched over their AK-47s. They were not a friendly bunch. “Don’t take any more pictures of them,” an Australian mercenary with local knowledge warned us.

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