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Emmanuel Todd

  20th June 2003  —  Issue 87
Many French intellectuals see their country as leading the challenge to US power. Few are as outspoken as Emmanuel Todd, the author of "Après l'Empire," a bestseller prophesying the decline of America.

MM: You predicted the fall of the Soviet Union 25 years ago. Now you speak of the fall of the US, which has just won the war in Iraq. How come?

ET: The war against Iraq was a military absurdity. The US won a victory over a country with a barefoot army which had been bled dry. It demonstrated its military omnipotence in Iraq in order to hide its economic weaknesses. True rivalry will no longer be settled using military force. The real counterbalance to the US is found in Europe, Russia, China and Japan. The main battlefield will be the economic sector.

MM: Isn’t that anti-American wishful thinking?

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